UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Findlay 2
  
Findlay               
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 82.3036

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 1-10, 77.1) 15- 4 227 A D'Youville East Coast ( 5- 6, 82.2) 14- 9 228 A Daemen East Coast ( 7- 3, 83.8) 4- 7 304 A McKendree GLVC ( 8- 3, 87.2) 5-17 306 A Quincy GLVC ( 3- 7, 84.4) 4-13 314 A Wheeling Mountain East ( 5- 6, 80.7) 7- 8 319 H Malone Great Midwest ( 5- 2, 80.1) 11- 5 321 H Walsh Great Midwest ( 5- 5, 81.3) 12- 6 325 H Lewis GLVC ( 6- 4, 84.6) 6-13 402 A Ursuline Great Midwest ( 0- 8, 66.7) 16- 1 403 A Lake Erie Great Midwest ( 1-12, 70.3) 17- 5 407 A Davenport GLIAC ( 8- 5, 83.4) 6-10 410 H Northwood Great Midwest ( 2- 8, 75.0) 411 H Thomas More Great Midwest ( 0-11, 75.4) 415 A Tiffin Great Midwest ( 5- 5, 78.8) 418 A Ashland Great Midwest ( 9- 4, 89.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Saginaw Valley State   15- 4      11     5           0.16
   227 A D'Youville             14- 9       5     0    ++     5.33
   228 A Daemen                  4- 7      -3    -2          -1.11
   304 A McKendree               5-17     -12    -5           0.00
   306 A Quincy                  4-13      -9    -2    -     -2.54
   314 A Wheeling                7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.22
   319 H Malone                 11- 5       6     3    +      2.42
   321 H Walsh                  12- 6       6     1    +      3.57
   325 H Lewis                   6-13      -7    -2    -     -3.14
   402 A Ursuline               16- 1      15    15           0.00
   403 A Lake Erie              17- 5      12    12           0.00
   407 A Davenport               6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Quincy                  4-13      -9    -2    -     -2.54
   314 A Wheeling                7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.22
   325 H Lewis                   6-13      -7    -2    -     -3.14
   407 A Davenport               6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A D'Youville             14- 9       5     0    ++     5.33
   319 H Malone                 11- 5       6     3    +      2.42
   321 H Walsh                  12- 6       6     1    +      3.57

Findlay Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville   Alabama-Huntsville
American International Findlay   Findlay
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland Ashland   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Barton Findlay   Findlay
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey   Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg   Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Findlay   Findlay
Caldwell Findlay   Findlay
Catawba Findlay   Findlay
Charleston Charleston insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Charleston
Chestnut Hill Findlay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Findlay
Chowan Chowan   Chowan
Coker Findlay   Findlay
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Concordia-St Paul
Converse Findlay   Findlay
CSU-Pueblo CSU-Pueblo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) CSU-Pueblo
D'Youville Findlay Findlay  
Daemen Daemen Daemen  
Davenport Davenport Davenport  
Davis & Elkins Findlay tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Findlay
District of Columbia Findlay insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Findlay
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Findlay tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Findlay
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Findlay   Findlay
Emory & Henry Findlay   Findlay
Felician Findlay   Findlay
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Findlay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Findlay
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Franklin Pierce
Frostburg State Frostburg State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Frostburg State
Gannon Gannon insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Gannon
Georgian Court Georgian Court   Georgian Court
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Grand Valley State
Holy Family Findlay   Findlay
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Indianapolis
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lake Erie Findlay Findlay  
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Lee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lee
Lees-McRae Findlay insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Findlay
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis Lewis  
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Findlay tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Findlay
Lock Haven Lock Haven   Lock Haven
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Findlay Findlay  
Mars Hill Findlay   Findlay
Maryville Maryville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryville
McKendree McKendree McKendree  
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Missouri Western
Molloy Findlay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Findlay
Montevallo Montevallo   Montevallo
Mount Olive Mount Olive   Mount Olive
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville Findlay   Findlay
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Northwood Findlay Findlay   5- 3 vs 2- 6
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Findlay   Findlay
Quincy Quincy Quincy  
Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan   Roberts Wesleyan
Rockhurst Rockhurst insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Findlay Findlay  
Seton Hill Seton Hill   Seton Hill
Shepherd Shepherd insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Shepherd
Shippensburg Shippensburg insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Shippensburg
Shorter Findlay   Findlay
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Findlay   Findlay
St Anselm St Anselm insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Anselm
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels St Michaels insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Michaels
St Thomas Aquinas Findlay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Findlay
Tampa Tampa   Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Findlay Findlay   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Tiffin Findlay tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Findlay
Tusculum Tusculum tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tusculum
Ursuline Findlay Findlay  
UVA Wise UVA Wise   UVA Wise
Virginia State Findlay   Findlay
Walsh Findlay Findlay  
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Findlay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Findlay
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Wheeling Wheeling  
William Jewell Findlay   Findlay
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE) tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Young Harris   Young Harris

PowerWise = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Saginaw Valley  ( 1-10, 77.1)    15- 4      -22.84      10.35       0.41         0.92             9.89
   0 A D'Youville      ( 5- 6, 82.2)    14- 9      -17.68      15.51       0.41         0.92            14.64
   0 A Daemen          ( 7- 3, 83.8)     4- 7      -16.12      17.07       0.41         0.92           -14.45
   0 A McKendree       ( 8- 3, 87.2)     5-17      -12.67      20.52       0.41         0.92           -11.28
   0 A Quincy          ( 3- 7, 84.4)     4-13      -15.54      17.65       0.41         0.92           -13.92
   0 A Wheeling        ( 5- 6, 80.7)     7- 8      -19.22      13.97       0.41         0.92           -17.30
   0 H Malone          ( 5- 2, 80.1)    11- 5      -19.77      13.42      -0.41         0.92            11.96
   0 H Walsh           ( 5- 5, 81.3)    12- 6      -18.62      14.57      -0.41         0.92            13.03
   0 H Lewis           ( 6- 4, 84.6)     6-13      -15.33      17.86      -0.41         0.92           -14.47
   0 A Ursuline        ( 0- 8, 66.7)    16- 1      -33.19       1.00       0.41         0.92             1.29
   0 A Lake Erie       ( 1-12, 70.3)    17- 5      -29.58       3.61       0.41         0.92             3.69
   0 A Davenport       ( 8- 5, 83.4)     6-10      -16.46      16.73       0.41         0.92           -14.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -31.67

winning pts = 54.5151 losing points = -86.1834

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------